US-Israeli Strikes on Iran Reshape Global Order and Disrupt Aviation

Executive Summary

The US and Israel launched a coordinated military campaign against Iran on February 28, 2026, targeting nuclear facilities, missile infrastructure, and leadership compounds — an action explicitly aimed at regime change. Iran responded with approximately 170 ballistic missiles fired at Israel and US positions in 20 separate barrages. The UN Security Council convened in emergency session. This is not an isolated escalation but a continuation of hostilities dating to June 2025, now entering a phase with no modern precedent in the post-1945 international order. For legal technology firms operating across APAC and Southeast Asia, the immediate consequences are logistical and economic: critical Middle Eastern aviation hubs have shut down, severing air corridors that connect Singapore to Europe and Africa. Over 19,000 flights were delayed and 1,800 cancelled. Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Doha airports — transit lifelines for Southeast Asian business travel — are offline. Supply chains, client engagements, and cross-border deal timelines face disruption measured in weeks, not days. On a five-to-ten-year horizon, this conflict accelerates the fracturing of the global order into competing blocs, with direct implications for how legal technology markets develop and how cross-border legal services are governed. Sanctions regimes will multiply. Data localization and sovereignty requirements will intensify. Demand for compliance technology, sanctions screening, and geopolitical risk analytics will surge. Legal tech companies serving multinational clients must anticipate a world where regulatory fragmentation is the baseline, not the exception. At an epochal scale, the willingness of major powers to pursue regime change through direct strikes against a nuclear-threshold state marks a departure from the deterrence frameworks that have constrained great-power conflict since 1945. For humanity, this tests whether the institutional architecture built to prevent cascading wars — the UN, international law, multilateral diplomacy — retains any constraining force. For On The Ground specifically, the access-to-justice mission becomes both harder and more urgent: conflict displaces populations, collapses legal institutions, and creates vast unmet legal needs that technology is uniquely positioned to address at scale.